Obamacare Enrollment Plummeted in Many States, According to Federal Data
· Telemundo McAllen (KTLM)

States across the United States saw significant drops in the number of people covered by the Affordable Care Act (ACA) over the past year, according to new federal data that provides the first comprehensive breakdown of enrollment declines across all 50 states following the expiration of expanded subsidies in January. The data, released in late June by the Trump administration and first reported by The Associated Press, reveals that around 2.6 million fewer Americans had Obamacare policies in February compared to the same period last year. Cynthia Cox, vice president and director of the ACA program at the health research organization KFF, noted that the dataset not only tracks how many people enrolled or were automatically re-enrolled in plans in 2026 but also how many paid their first monthly premium to maintain coverage. Cox indicated that it also includes individuals who were retroactively removed from coverage after a grace period ended due to non-payment. 'This is the first time we are seeing state-level data showing how much enrollment in the ACA market really fell,' Cox stated. 'It aligns with our expectations, but it does show a very pronounced drop in the number of people with ACA coverage.' Healthcare affordability is a central issue for voters. Health analysts have closely monitored changes in ACA enrollment since the expiration of the so-called expanded premium tax credits caused monthly health insurance costs for many Americans to double or triple, forcing some to drop coverage altogether. The subsidies had been at the center of a bitter dispute in Congress last year, where Democrats and some Republicans called for their renewal. Insurance costs have been rising in the ACA and other insurance programs at a time when voters, looking ahead to the November elections, say affordability is among their top concerns. In a report released last week, the Department of Health and Human Services suggested that the significant drop in enrollment this year could be attributed to a federal crackdown on fraudulent or 'ghost' enrollments. However, analysts have pointed out that it is more likely related to the expiration of federal subsidies on January 1, along with other changes, including stricter requirements on which immigrants could access subsidized plans. Ohio, Oklahoma, and Arizona recorded the most significant declines. An AP analysis of the data found that Ohio and Oklahoma each saw a decrease of more than 32% in ACA market insurance enrollments over the past year, losing higher proportions of their covered populations than any other state. Close behind, with losses of more than a quarter of their enrollees, were Arizona, South Carolina, Minnesota, Indiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Louisiana, and Missouri. Florida, a state that heavily relies on ACA insurance partly because it did not expand Medicaid and has many gig economy workers and entrepreneurs, still has more residents in the market than any other state, with nearly 4 million. However, it also recorded the highest number of enrollees who dropped coverage this year: around 443,000. The data does not indicate whether those who left ACA health insurance this year found coverage elsewhere, and it is likely that some became insured through employer plans or other options. But Cox noted that most who exited the market likely remained uninsured, as it is generally a 'last resort' for obtaining health coverage for those who are not eligible elsewhere. Some of the states that saw the largest enrollment declines were the same ones that had experienced the biggest increases in enrollment after the federal government introduced expanded subsidies during the COVID-19 pandemic. Cox commented that this is not surprising, as those states likely had large numbers of people who enrolled only because the expanded subsidies made coverage much more affordable. Only one state recorded an increase in its covered population. New Mexico added about 14% more enrollees in its government health insurance program compared to the same period last year. It was the only state in the country that fully replaced the lost federal subsidies using its own funds. States with federal markets saw the largest enrollment declines. Approximately three out of five states use the federal Healthcare.gov market, while the rest operate their own state-based ACA insurance markets. The new data shows that, collectively, states using the federal market lost larger proportions of enrollees than states with state-based markets. One reason for this could be that many states with their own markets took steps to offset costs for their residents when the expanded subsidies expired in January. New Mexico is the most extreme example of this. In a special session last year, state legislators approved a plan to use state funds to cover the missing subsidies until mid-2026. In March, the state's governor signed a law to continue covering the gap until mid-2027.
AI summary · Source: Telemundo McAllen (KTLM) →


